PDF《Pure Power》

2020 EWEA scenarios for each national market: a baseline scenario and a high scenario. The baseline scenario is based on EWEA'

s tradition- ally conservative approach to setting targets for wind energy. It assumes a total installed capacity of wind power in the EU of 230?GW, producing 581?TWh of electricity, meeting 15.7% of electricity consumption. EWEA'

s high scenario acknowledges that wind power C as the most affordable of the renewable electricity technologies in most EU Member States C could meet a higher share than the 14% of electricity demand by

2020 indicated by the NREAPs or the 14.2% assumed by the European Commission in its PRIMES model, if EU policy certainty beyond

2020 is achieved before 2014, additional R&

D efforts are made, and if the nec- essary infrastructure investments and power market reforms are undertaken. Under such conditions, EWEA assumes in its high scenario that total installed wind power capacity will reach 265?GW by 2020, produc- ing 682?TWh of electricity, meeting 18.4% of electricity consumption. Chapter x: name of the chapter

6 Pure Power C Wind energy targets for

2020 and

2030 2010: 911?MW

2020 (B/H): 3,900/4,500?MW Average annual 2011-2020: 299/359?MW 2010?TWh: 2.2 (2.3%) 2020?TWh (B/H): 10.8/12.9?TWh (10.2/12.3%) BELGIUM MW TWh 2010: 375?MW

2020 (B/H): 3,000/3,500?MW Average annual 2011-2020: 263/313?MW 2010?TWh: 0.8 (2%) 2020?TWh (B/H): 7/8.2?TWh (18.4/21.5%) BULGARIA MW TWh 2010: 82?MW

2020 (B/H): 300/500?MW Average annual 2011-2020: 22/42?MW 2010?TWh: 0.2 (n/a) 2020?TWh (B/H): 0.7/1.2?TWh (12.28/20.46%) CYPRUS MW TWh 2010: 215?MW

2020 (B/H): 1,600/1,800?MW Average annual 2011-2020: 139/159?MW 2010?TWh: 0.5 (0.6%) 2020?TWh (B/H): 3.5/3.9?TWh (4.1/4.6%) CZECH REPUBLIC MW TWh 2010: 3,752?MW

2020 (B/H): 6,000/6,500?MW Average annual 2011-2020: 225/275?MW 2010?TWh: 9.7 (25.6%) 2020?TWh (B/H): 14.7/18.3?TWh (37.9/47.4%) DENMARK MW TWh 2010: 149?MW

2020 (B/H): 500/600?MW Average annual 2011-2020: 35/45?MW 2010?TWh: 0.3 (3.5%) 2020?TWh (B/H): 1.2/1.6?TWh (11.3/14.8%) ESTONIA MW TWh 2010: 197?MW

2020 (B/H): 1,900/3,000?MW Average annual 2011-2020: 170/280?MW 2010?TWh: 0.5 (0.5%) 2020?TWh (B/H): 5.1/8.6?TWh (5.1/8.7%) FINLAND MW TWh 2010: 5,660?MW

2020 (B/H): 23,000/26,000?MW Average annual 2011-2020: 1,734/2,034?MW 2010?TWh: 11.9 (2.3%) 2020?TWh (B/H): 60.5/70.4?TWh (10.8/12.5%) FRANCE MW TWh 2010: 27,214?MW

2020 (B/H): 49,000/52,000?MW Average annual 2011-2020: 2,179/2,479?MW 2010?TWh: 49.5 (8%) 2020?TWh (B/H): 106.3/115.9?TWh (16.6/18.1%) GERMANY MW TWh 2010: 1,208?MW ........