编辑: 人间点评 | 2019-10-12 |
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 Domestic Appliances C market growth drivers and APAC trends.
Charlie Cai & Alexander Dehmel GfK CE China Shenzhen, May
2018 2 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 Global and SEA View
3 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 Variety of Products addresses many opportunities Domestic Appliances are versatile. Saturation levels are not achieved External Factors are favorable for the development of Sales for Domestic Appliances. Emerging middle class & number of households rising worldwide Fewer persons per HH in developed world, rising population with access to electricity in developing countries Appliances addressing convenience peak Same outcome in less time is expected C multifunctional/smart, and more Macroeconomic framework is positive Low interest rates make investment in housing attractive
4 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 GfK World Market Estimation MDA9 | Mio. Units MDA
9 = Washing Machines, Tumble Dryers, Dishwashers, Refrigerators, Freezers, Cookers/Ovens, Hobs, Hoods, Microwave Ovens MDA Markets are doing exceptionally well throughout the last
10 years.
384 407
407 403
442 464
471 484
494 499
506 527
549 570
2006 2007
2008 2009
2010 2011
2012 2013
2014 2015
2016 2017 EFC
2018 EFC
2019 +2% to +6% +3% to +7% -1% +6% +0% +10% +5% +2% +3% +2% +1% +1% +4%
5 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 +4.1% Unit Growth Forecast
2018 Source: MDA9 World Market Estimation
2017 | GfK POS Tracking And positive developments in all World regions are forecasted for 2018.
6 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 Value Shares by region (USD fixed) Source: MDA World Market Estimation
2017 | GfK POS Tracking Asia has been a rising star in the last
10 years for Domestic Appliances.
11 61
7 40
10 26
2008 21
5 3
8 26
10 25
2018 FC China Japan India Other APAC Europe/CIS Americas Middle East/Africa
7 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05
21 28
33 30
29 6
5 12
5 3
24 35
39 60
44 4
4 3
14 4
9 10
10 4
5 15
3 4
5 3
9 3
4 Europe/CIS China Japan India Other APAC Microwave Ovens Hoods BI Hobs/Cooktops Cookers/Ovens Freezers Cooling Dishwashers Tumble Dryers Washing Machines The Product Mix in Asia is different and offers opportunities. Value Shares by Products
2017 (USD fixed) Source: MDA World Market Estimation
2017 | GfK POS Tracking
8 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05
1 Market segments sorted by abs. Value growth Convenience and Premium drives the market in SEA. Washing Machines + 8% WM Inverter Motor +26% WM >8kg FA Front +35% WM FA Top +4% Washdryer +21% Smart +43% Jan/Feb: + 15% Fridges +3%
2 DR FR BTM +23% Side by Side +4%
2 DR FRZ Top +4% Smart +177%
4 Doors +12% Jan/Feb: + 13% Sales value ? (fixed) growth
2017 vs. 2016, SEA
8 + HK/TW Vacuum Cleaner +17% Handstick +39% Smart +764% Robot +47% Jan/Feb: + 28% Segment growth is always related to: ? Convenience ? More Premium ? Higher efficiency
9 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 Smart Appliances
10 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 Source: GfK Consumer Scope 75% China Brazil 57% South Korea 55% USA 51% UK 47% Germany 43% Japan 19% Global 50% Consumers agree: worldwide 50% of the consumers are sure, that Smart Home will change their life in the near future
11 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05
778 318
126 7
2012 2018 1,947 4,131 7,178 Growing number of smart models selling on the market
12 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05
0 10
20 30
40 50
60 70
80 90
2012 2013
2014 2015
2016 2017
2018 Distribution of smart appliances is expanding
13 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 Jan 15- Mar
15 Apr 15- Jun
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18 Western Europe 2,4 3,8 6,5 9,3 Jan 15- Mar
15 Apr 15- Jun
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16 Oct 16- Dec
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18 CIS 4,4 5,9 10,8 14,8 Jan 15- Mar
15 Apr 15- Jun
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15 Oct 15- Dec
15 Jan 16- Mar
16 Apr 16- Jun
16 Jul 16- Sep
16 Oct 16- Dec
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18 Central-Eastern Europe 2,8 4,0 6,8 8,9 Jan 15- Mar
15 Apr 15- Jun
15 Jul 15- Sep
15 Oct 15- Dec
15 Jan 16- Mar
16 Apr 16- Jun
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17 Jan 18- Feb
18 APAC 3,0 7,8 15,3 21,8 Value share of smart appliances Share of smart appliances increasing globally
14 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 MDA Total 8, Smart Connect,
2017 vs. 2016, Sales Thsd. Units, GfK Panelmarket Still very different situation within regions: China is almost 60% of the global smart appliances market!
59 12
19 6
4 2017 China Other APAC Europe/CIS LATAM
10 Middle East/Africa 13.1 24.9
2016 2017 Sale Mio Units +90% >100%
15 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 Smart Appliances Share of smart appliances grows fast, number of models and distribution as well. With Asia being a more dynamic market, lower price gap between smart and non-smart, the readiness to buy smart is much higher than in other regions of the World. Healthy Market Global market keeps on growing year on year. In
2017 dynamic picked up due to China, LATAM and CIS recovery. We expect further positive development in the nearest future Asia as a region of potential Asia as a region with many opportunities in many product segments. Increasing middle classes and income secure a sustainable growth for the years to come.
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3 Key facts about MDA market in
2018 16 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 China
17 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 1,777 1,942 2,189 2,326
2015 2016
2017 2018E Telecom 通讯产品 IT产品 Small Domestic Appliance 小家电 Major Domestic Appliance 大白电 Consumer Electronics 消费电子 Photo 数码影像产品 Total 总计 1% 5% 5% 10% 0% 7% 6%
2017 VS.
2016 2018E VS.
2017 中国技术消费电子产品增长预估 China technical consumer goods market estimation (online+offline线上+线下, billion CNY) Value growth rate% 销售额同比增长 Source: GfK China 5% 2% 16% 14% 5% 16% 13%
18 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 Data Source: GfK China retail tracking 中国白色家电分品类增长趋势 MDA growth trend by value 家用空调 烤箱 洗碗机 灶具 油烟机 微波炉 冰箱 蒸箱 洗衣机 -10% 20% 50% 80% 110% - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 零售额增长率 均价 MDA 2017对比2016 零售额同比增长
19 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 Data Source: GfK China retail tracking 超薄多门对开冰箱 智能冰箱 1级能效空调 智能空调 洗干滚筒 复式洗衣机 干衣机 洗碗机 蒸箱 千元以上耳机 OLED&QLED彩电 Handstick吸尘器 机器人吸尘器 榨汁机 IH电饭锅 游戏电脑 超轻薄笔记本 0% 40% 80% 120% 160% - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 零售额增长率 均价 AI 电视、全面屏手机、双摄手机 2017年处于爆发态势 2017对比2016 零售额同比高增长的细分产品 中国市场高增长的品类 Fast growing product type
20 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05
31 2015
2016 2017 干衣机/Tumble Dryer
104 2015
2016 2017 洗碗机/Dishwasher 117% 品质生活推动新兴品类家电 New category driven by quality life pursuit 2015-2017 零售量规模(万台) 52%
244 2015
2016 2017 热饮机(咖啡机为主) Hot beverage maker 2,405
2015 2016
2017 电动牙刷 Elec tooth brush 29% 100%
21 ? GfK
2018 | Global & SEA Trends for MDA | 2018-05 38.5 24.9 23.6 24.9 20.4 25.4 17.5 24.8
2013 2014
2015 2016
2017 线下市场 offline >
6000