编辑: 思念那么浓 | 2018-09-09 |
4 请阅读最后一页评级说明和重要声明 表2:本周国内各地区钢材价格有所下跌 最新价格 一周变动 一月变动 三月变动 一年变动 国内钢铁主要品 种价格变动 元/吨 北京 4,190 -230 -5.20% -630 -13.07% -870 -17.19%
30 0.72% 上海 4,370 -220 -4.79% -340 -7.22% -470 -9.71%
100 2.34% 武汉 4,340 -200 -4.41% -420 -8.82% -560 -11.43%
20 0.46% 螺纹钢 均价 4,244 -255 -5.67% -552 -11.51% -719 -14.49%
28 0.66% 北京 4,260 -190 -4.27% -570 -11.80% -640 -13.06%
10 0.24% 上海 4,330 -410 -8.65% -540 -11.09% -540 -11.09% -20 -0.46% 武汉 4,460 -250 -5.31% -510 -10.26% -530 -10.62%
130 3.00% 线材 均价 4,426 -229 -4.92% -499 -10.13% -512 -10.37%
98 2.26% 北京 4,050 -430 -9.60% -700 -14.74% -730 -15.27% -230 -5.37% 上海 4,030 -390 -8.82% -600 -12.96% -810 -16.74% -170 -4.05% 武汉 4,200 -350 -7.69% -540 -11.39% -580 -12.13% -50 -1.18% 热轧 均价 4,140 -398 -8.77% -605 -12.75% -682 -14.14% -145 -3.38% 北京 5,280 -170 -3.12% -270 -4.86% -320 -5.71% -170 -3.12% 上海 5,300 -150 -2.75% -190 -3.46% -50 -0.93%
50 0.95% 武汉 5,280 -110 -2.04% -190 -3.47% -20 -0.38%
150 2.92% 冷轧 均价 5,375 -122 -2.22% -172 -3.10% -102 -1.86%
30 0.56% 北京 4,130 -320 -7.19% -600 -12.68% -570 -12.13% -150 -3.50% 上海 4,600 -130 -2.75% -240 -4.96% -240 -4.96%
170 3.84% 武汉 4,390 -320 -6.79% -410 -8.54% -490 -10.04% -20 -0.45% 中厚板 均价 4,373 -252 -5.45% -447 -9.27% -485 -9.98% -39 -0.88% 资料来源:Bloomberg,长江证券研究部 图2:螺纹钢价格下跌,均价下跌 5.67% 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 03/Jan/03 03/M ay/03 03/Sep/03 03/Jan/04 03/M ay/04 03/Sep/04 03/Jan/05 03/M ay/05 03/Sep/05 03/Jan/06 03/M ay/06 03/Sep/06 03/Jan/07 03/M ay/07 03/Sep/07 03/Jan/08 03/M ay/08 03/Sep/08 03/Jan/09 03/M ay/09 03/Sep/09 03/Jan/10 03/M ay/10 03/Sep/10 03/Jan/11 03/M ay/11 03/Sep/11 北京 上海 武汉 资料来源:Bloomberg,长江证券研究部 图3:线材价格下跌,均价下跌 4.92% 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 03/Jan/03 03/M ay/03 03/Sep/03 03/Jan/04 03/M ay/04 03/Sep/04 03/Jan/05 03/M ay/05 03/Sep/05 03/Jan/06 03/M ay/06 03/Sep/06 03/Jan/07 03/M ay/07 03/Sep/07 03/Jan/08 03/M ay/08 03/Sep/08 03/Jan/09 03/M ay/09 03/Sep/09 03/Jan/10 03/M ay/10 03/Sep/10 03/Jan/11 03/M ay/11 03/Sep/11 北京 上海 武汉 资料来源:Bloomberg,长江证券研究部
5 行业研究 请阅读最后一页评级说明和重要声明 图4:热轧价格下跌,均价下跌 8.77% 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 03/Jan/03 03/M ay/03 03/Sep/03 03/Jan/04 03/M ay/04 03/Sep/04 03/Jan/05 03/M ay/05 03/Sep/05 03/Jan/06 03/M ay/06 03/Sep/06 03/Jan/07 03/M ay/07 03/Sep/07 03/Jan/08 03/M ay/08 03/Sep/08 03/Jan/09 03/M ay/09 03/Sep/09 03/Jan/10 03/M ay/10 03/Sep/10 03/Jan/11 03/M ay/11 03/Sep/11 北京 上海 武汉 资料来源:Bloomberg,长江证券研究部 图5:冷轧价格下跌,均价下跌 2.22% 2,800 3,300 3,800 4,300 4,800 5,300 5,800 6,300 6,800 7,300 7,800 10/Jan/03 10/M ay/03 10/Sep/03 10/Jan/04 10/M ay/04 10/Sep/04 10/Jan/05 10/M ay/05 10/Sep/05 10/Jan/06 10/M ay/06 10/Sep/06 10/Jan/07 10/M ay/07 10/Sep/07 10/Jan/08 10/M ay/08 10/Sep/08 10/Jan/09 10/M ay/09 10/Sep/09 10/Jan/10 10/M ay/10 10/Sep/10 10/Jan/11 10/M ay/11 10/Sep/11 北京 上海 武汉 资料来源:Bloomberg,长江证券研究部 图6:中厚板价格下跌,均价下跌 5.45% 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 03/Jan/03 03/May/03 03/Sep/03 03/Jan/04 03/May/04 03/Sep/04 03/Jan/05 03/May/05 03/Sep/05 03/Jan/06 03/May/06 03/Sep/06 03/Jan/07 03/May/07 03/Sep/07 03/Jan/08 03/May/08 03/Sep/08 03/Jan/09 03/May/09 03/Sep/09 03/Jan/10 03/May/10 03/Sep/10 03/Jan/11 03/May/11 03/Sep/11 北京 上海 武汉 资料来源:Bloomberg,长江证券研究部 ? 期货价格本周大幅下跌,期现价差继续下降 期货主力合约价格本周大幅下跌,期现价差继续下降. 图7:螺纹钢期货主力合约本周大幅下跌 3,000 3,........